Tuesday, April 20, 2004

The fundamental paradox of our time

One last thought before I head off to lunch:

  1. The more the focus of the news turns to Iraq and 9/11 the more the issues of national security and the war on terror come to pre-occupy the minds of the voters.
  2. Republicans in general and Bush in particular poll higher in the public opinion on issues of national security and the war on terror.
  3. Therefore, the more the news turns to Iraq and 9/11 the more the voters approve of Bush's handling of his job and the more likely they are to re-elect him..

Yes, we can scream all we want about how the news focus on Iraq and 9/11 show Bush to be incompetent. But that just isn't the connection the casual political observer makes. We have to make it for them.

More importantly, Kerry needs to make it for them. And he needs to show that he can do it better than Bush.

Tough road ahead.

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