Tuesday, April 06, 2004

Who to trust?

Just how large a following does Muqtada Al-Sadr have? Anti-war.com makes the valid point that most of the reports coming from the administration appear to be low-balling his supporters in the hundreds and low thousands while some people from within Iraq and other experts are saying he may have a following that could number in the millions. Apparently many in the establishment media (namely TV) are following the administration line and reporting Al-Sadr's uprising as just an isolated band of hotheads.

But could a group of only 2-3000 followers seize control of a city of 200,000 (Najif)?

Is it just wishful thinking on the Bushies part that Al-Sadr's support is smaller than some think it is?

Remember that these guys don't exactly have a great track record when it comes to assessing the size of potential threats.


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